Monday, June 18, 2007

Group mixed to sideways... Crude oil stronger than the stock, ex. refiners. Nat gas and nat gas levered names were weak. Gasoline holding at a pretty high level.

Thursday, June 14, 2007

Strong as an ox today on double wammy -> crude followed through from the surprise non-build in gasoline today strongly...and the broad market followed through as well. Like it was all a bad dream. Stay tuned.

Tuesday, June 12, 2007

Weak market in the AM to a midday recovery to a closing flop on Greenspan comments from left field. Commodities uneventful. RBOB down a couple of pennies to 2.13, refiners actually act ok under the circumstances. But as always, they will act ok until they dont act ok any more.

Friday, June 8, 2007

Commodities smoked across the board, especially gasoline down 3% and curde down 3.2%. Stocks caught a late bounce with comments on US Steel potentially being acquired. Weirdness...

Wednesday, June 6, 2007

Broad market down 8/10th of a %, levered subsectors worst right down the line. TK getting smoked 3.5%. Refiners weak -2 to -4%. E&P down 2%. Ah the humanity. Brutal. Gasoline showed a huge build in blendstocks, but demand looked ok and inventory cover is still low low.

Monday, June 4, 2007

Another strong day... XTO was the primary driver, buying D's assets and talking about an MLP. Strange development is a cyclone in the Middle East driving crude oil. Comments below from GS trader sickeningly bullish ->

The energy sector stole the spotlight once again yesterday as several E&P deals created a strong bid to nat gas and therefore a nice rally in Services and Drillers. Mega cap XOM was a lone underperformer yesterday, closing unched on the day, which we view as a positive seeing it generally points to the generalist community focusing on higher beta energy rather than "safe" energy exposure. We were active throughout the day for both vanilla and hedge customers mostly in red hot E&P and Pipeline names. Overall GS traders like the group and see another leg up in both the OSX & XOI, especially if sell side analysts continue to raise there 2007 avg crude prices before the end of Q2.

Friday, June 1, 2007

Muted day in services +0.35%, stronger in E&P +1.1% and refining 1.5%. NFX was the rumor of the day ripping 10%. We'll see on Monday. Tenaris and Vallourec gave a little back in the AM but TS ADR closed in the green in the US.